@mawr invisible hand mind controlling me
Sometimes I still think of the dollar sign as a capital four. https://awoo.space/media/Kmta4fF-D_F5koxKKbk
@typhlosion \[T]/
@bunnyhero if you find one awoo it :o but I'm happy here for the most part
Such that if you flip a coin five times, the chance it will have landed heads at least once is 96.875%.
If you roll a d20 100 times, the chance you'll roll a 20 at least once is apparently too complicated a number for my calculator app to handle because it just says 1 and I know that's wrong.
Okay I think I found it. Probability of something happening during an event is A. Number of times the event is repeated is B. Probability of event A occurring at least once when event is repeated B times is C.
1 - A ^ B = C
This is why I don't trust keeping my important documents in the cloud.
(cw animated gif, MLP) https://awoo.space/media/a2MORQyk0xmNjCtEXSw
I'm having trouble thinking of what the calculation should be and it's super mega bothering me.
Like a deck of 52 playing cards. Shuffle, and draw a card. The probability the card drawn is 7 of clubs is 1/52.
The truck is it's not additive. If you shuffle and draw 52 times, the probability you'll have drawn 7 of clubs at least once isn't 100%.
It's the probability that, during a single event, variable A has a chance to happen. And the event repeats variable B number of times. What is the probability that, repeated B times, A will happen at least once? It can happen more than once, and you don't stop counting B if A occurs.
bogpunk on birdsite:
"The future is great"
https://twitter.com/bogpunk/status/864542112355831810 https://cybre.space/media/GsJMmDrBM55pE3rbJj0
Moved to @Mycroft