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You say potato I say boil em mash em stick em in a stew

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You say tomato I say "you said tomato" you say "yeah" I say "what" you say "what" then I awkwardly change the subject

Channeled my inner smorc and got up to Rank 15 again in Hearthstone with a face hunter deck. Go me! Second time I've gotten that high.

Such that if you flip a coin five times, the chance it will have landed heads at least once is 96.875%.

If you roll a d20 100 times, the chance you'll roll a 20 at least once is apparently too complicated a number for my calculator app to handle because it just says 1 and I know that's wrong.

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Okay I think I found it. Probability of something happening during an event is A. Number of times the event is repeated is B. Probability of event A occurring at least once when event is repeated B times is C.

1 - A ^ B = C

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This is why I don't trust keeping my important documents in the cloud.
(cw animated gif, MLP) awoo.space/media/a2MORQyk0xmNj

I'm having trouble thinking of what the calculation should be and it's super mega bothering me.

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Like a deck of 52 playing cards. Shuffle, and draw a card. The probability the card drawn is 7 of clubs is 1/52.
The truck is it's not additive. If you shuffle and draw 52 times, the probability you'll have drawn 7 of clubs at least once isn't 100%.

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It's the probability that, during a single event, variable A has a chance to happen. And the event repeats variable B number of times. What is the probability that, repeated B times, A will happen at least once? It can happen more than once, and you don't stop counting B if A occurs.

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I need a thing, and I think I'm having trouble communicating it. I need the name of this thing, if it has one, the calculations behind it, and preferably an online tool where I can punch in two variables and get an answer.

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tired: being a good dog
wired: touch everything in the house with nose. everything. nose.

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Hello Mastodon furries! I made a totally non-scientific survey to ascertain certain things about the furry community, out of mere personal curiosity.

If you're #furry, I encourage you to take it!

goo.gl/forms/sFZ2aNVZkSzmtxsD3

@Scavenger@octodon.social If you can set up your Windows users so that the Administrator accounts are password protected, and you use a Standard account for day to day, that'll protect you more too. Some programs, mostly games, won't run under Standard user accounts though.

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@Scavenger@octodon.social User behavior best practices is probably the best way to avoid viruses and malware; don't run weird programs, don't type your password unless you type in the website name, don't use IE, don't use Java plugin, try not to use Flash, etc.

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@Scavenger@octodon.social Beware of "Free!!!" stuff that takes over your computer and offers to scan email and incoming ports and all that; it's probably more protection than you need and can actually make your computer *more* vulnerable.

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@Scavenger@octodon.social For Win7, MS's free Good Enough package is called Microsoft Security Essentials. It's not included with Windows by default. support.microsoft.com/en-us/he is where you can get it. I highly recommend it.

After I got my own 386 and didn't use my old Apple II, I still used the monochrome Monitor II. I set it beside my 12" color TV, with my SNES plugged into it, so I could play SimCity and watch cartoons at the same time.
I've been multimon for *decades*. awoo.space/media/1f6bWdVD7o8Cn

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